语言:简体中文
Brisbane Broncos v Canterbury Bulldogs
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Brisbane Broncos (主队)
预测 39.49%2.53公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -2.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.45
博彩公司预测分布
38.39%39.35%39.49%40.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.332.342.4545.45%43.00%42.74%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
Canterbury Bulldogs (客队)
预测 56.30%1.78公平赔率
EV -4.30%
优势 -2.53%
Kelly -6.14%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.70
博彩公司预测分布
55.33%56.13%56.30%57.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.621.611.7065.36%61.73%62.11%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 4.21%23.74公平赔率
EV +13.72%
优势 +0.508%
Kelly +0.528%
增长率 +0.072%
假设最高赔率为 27.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.41%4.52%4.21%6.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
15.0020.5621.0027.006.67%4.86%4.76%3.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Brisbane Broncos (主队)：39.49%；Canterbury Bulldogs (客队)：56.30%；平局：4.21%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为23.74。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为27.00，对应+13.72%的正期望值。
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (9 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.37%EV -7.59%E -3.24%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.22%EV -9.36%E -5.82%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.41%EV +13.72%E +0.508%K +0.528%G +0.072% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.21%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.85%EV -8.80%E -5.43%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.93%EV -3.13%E -0.136%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -13.12%E -5.96%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -9.93%E -6.20%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV -3.13%E -0.136%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.69%EV -6.41%E -2.70%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -9.36%E -5.82%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -11.55%E -0.550%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.69%EV -6.41%E -2.70%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -9.36%E -5.82%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -11.55%E -0.550%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 08:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.17%E -3.99%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.32%EV -9.93%E -6.20%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.51%EV -15.76%E -0.788%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 04:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.25%EV -13.12%E -5.96%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.43%EV -13.87%E -9.06%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.32%EV -15.76%E -0.788%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -3.25%E -1.32%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -36.82%E -2.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -3.25%E -1.32%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -36.82%E -2.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 04:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 09:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 07:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 08:00 |