預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Louis Jourdain v Timothy Cuamba

開賽時間: 2026-10-18 00:40 UTC

最終賽果: Louis Jourdain 0–1 Timothy Cuamba

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

37 家博彩公司 (14 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Louis Jourdain (主隊)

預測 59.35%1.68公平賠率
EV +0.303%
優勢 +0.179%
Kelly +0.439%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 1.69

博彩公司預測分布
57.14%59.43%59.34%62.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.431.581.571.6969.93%63.10%63.69%59.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Timothy Cuamba (客隊)

預測 40.65%2.46公平賠率
EV +3.66%
優勢 +1.43%
Kelly +2.36%
成長率 +0.086%

假設最高賠率為 2.55

博彩公司預測分布
37.65%40.57%40.66%42.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.202.362.362.5545.45%42.41%42.37%39.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Louis Jourdain (主隊):59.35%;Timothy Cuamba (客隊):40.65%。 對於「Timothy Cuamba (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.46的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.55,對應+3.66%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (37 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086%4.2%2026-10-17 21:20
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +1.62%E +0.649%K +1.08%G +0.018%5.8%2026-10-17 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.409%E -0.167%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.409%E -0.167%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 10:10
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 10:10
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 10:10
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 10:08
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 10:10
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 13:55
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 10:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 20:40
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.38%E -6.87%K -20.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-17 23:30
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 00:27
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 23:55
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 23:55
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -2.66%E -1.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-18 00:35
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -5.69%E -2.45%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-18 00:35
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.884%E -0.530%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-17 22:45
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 00:35
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV +0.303%E +0.179%K +0.439%G +0.001%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -6.91%E -3.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-18 00:35
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -0.291%E -0.173%K -0.428%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -8.95%E -3.99%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 00:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.61%EV -15.13%E -10.58%K -35.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.39%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-16 10:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-10-18 00:28
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-10-18 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-10-18 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-10-18 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-10-18 00:35
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-18 00:30
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-17 22:25
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-17 22:25
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-10-18 00:30

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.73%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.40%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87%7.1%2026-10-17 22:25