Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Louis Jourdain v Timothy Cuamba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Louis Jourdain (Local)
Prediction 59.35%1.68fair odd
EV +0.303%
Edge +0.179%
Kelly +0.439%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.43%59.34%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.581.571.6969.93%63.10%63.69%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Timothy Cuamba (Visit)
Prediction 40.65%2.46fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +2.36%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%40.57%40.66%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.362.5545.45%42.41%42.37%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louis Jourdain (Local): 59.35%; Timothy Cuamba (Visit): 40.65%. For Timothy Cuamba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +1.62%E +0.649%K +1.08%G +0.018% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.409%E -0.167%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.409%E -0.167%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 10:08 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 10:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.22%E -0.503%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 10:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.38%E -6.87%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-18 00:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-18 00:27 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 23:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -2.66%E -1.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -5.69%E -2.45%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.884%E -0.530%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV +0.303%E +0.179%K +0.439%G +0.001% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -6.91%E -3.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -0.291%E -0.173%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -8.95%E -3.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.61%EV -15.13%E -10.58%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.39%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-10-18 00:28 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 00:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-10-18 00:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.73% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.40% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |