Language:English
King Green v Esteban Ribovics
Head to Head
King Green (Local)
Prediction 31.28%3.20fair odd
EV +4.78%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%31.35%31.32%33.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.043.083.3537.74%32.84%32.47%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Esteban Ribovics (Visit)
Prediction 68.72%1.46fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%68.65%68.68%71.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.371.4375.19%72.73%72.99%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: King Green (Local): 31.28%; Esteban Ribovics (Visit): 68.72%. For King Green (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.35, producing a positive expected value of +4.78%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +4.78%E +1.43%K +2.03%G +0.097% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.60%E -6.47%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +1.65%E +0.509%K +0.735%G +0.012% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.23%E -5.35%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.47%E -0.468%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.16%E -3.74%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 23:28 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.85%E -4.27%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 02:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.85%E -4.27%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 02:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.85%E -4.27%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 02:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.85%E -4.27%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 02:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 02:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 02:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 02:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 02:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 02:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 02:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.79%E -2.71%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-28 05:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.79%E -2.71%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.79%E -2.71%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.41%E -1.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.41%E -1.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 23:36 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.85%E -4.27%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-28 02:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -7.10%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -7.91%E -5.90%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 17:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.79%E -2.71%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.48%EV -8.98%E -3.09%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.52%EV -3.79%E -2.71%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 23:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.73%E -1.21%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -17.11%E -6.46%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -7.23%E -5.35%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-27 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26% | 5.4% | 2026-09-28 06:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 05:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.72% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.8% | 2026-09-28 00:09 |
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.22%Ladbrokes (AU) 3.35 (29.9%) / BetAnything 1.43 (70.1%)Show details
| King Green (Local) | Esteban Ribovics (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 3.35 (29.9%) | BetAnything🎯 1.43 (70.1%) | +0.220% |