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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Joel Faglier v Javad Mahjoub

開賽時間： 2026-10-17 22:50 UTC

最終賽果： Joel Faglier 1–0 Javad Mahjoub

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

33 家博彩公司 (12 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Joel Faglier (主隊)

預測 54.74%1.83公平賠率
EV -0.919%
優勢 -0.508%
Kelly -1.13%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.81

博彩公司預測分布
52.63%54.58%54.73%55.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.571.731.731.8163.69%57.73%57.80%55.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Javad Mahjoub (客隊)

預測 45.26%2.21公平賠率
EV -2.24%
優勢 -1.04%
Kelly -1.93%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.16

博彩公司預測分布
44.30%45.42%45.27%47.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.922.102.102.1652.08%47.72%47.62%46.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Joel Faglier (主隊)：54.74%；Javad Mahjoub (客隊)：45.26%。 對於「Joel Faglier (主隊)」，該估計相當於1.83的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為1.81，期望值為-0.919%，未產生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (33 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -0.919%E -0.508%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 05:34
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.47%E -0.815%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 22:39
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.11%E -1.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 20:14
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.11%E -1.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:50
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.11%E -1.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 22:30
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.66%E -2.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.66%E -2.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.20%E -2.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 22:44
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.20%E -2.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.60%E -1.69%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 10:20
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.20%E -2.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.20%E -2.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 06:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.20%E -2.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:55
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.75%E -2.73%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 22:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.75%E -2.73%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 10:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -4.75%E -2.73%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -10.39%E -5.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:10
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:10
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:10
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.05%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:08
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 06:39
TAB🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 01:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.30%E -3.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 13:49
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.94%E -4.08%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -3.60%E -1.69%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.58%E -5.14%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 20:15
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.58%E -5.14%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.58%E -5.14%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.01%EV -14.06%E -8.95%K -24.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.99%EV -13.10%E -6.82%K -14.24%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-16 10:10
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
BetOpenly◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-10-17 22:19
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-10-17 22:45
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-10-17 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-10-17 22:45
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-17 22:30
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-17 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-10-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-10-17 22:35
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-10-17 22:45

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.76%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.41%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84%8.8%2026-10-17 21:05