預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Azamat Murzakanov v Dominick Reyes

2026-10-24 17:40 UTC — MMA

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (11 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Azamat Murzakanov (主隊)

預測 64.20%1.56公平賠率
EV -1.13%
優勢 -0.731%
Kelly -2.09%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.54

博彩公司預測分布
62.03%64.19%64.30%66.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.341.471.451.5474.63%68.01%68.97%64.94%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Dominick Reyes (客隊)

預測 35.80%2.79公平賠率
EV +2.02%
優勢 +0.709%
Kelly +1.09%
成長率 +0.022%

假設最高賠率為 2.85

博彩公司預測分布
33.72%35.81%35.70%37.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.482.672.692.8540.32%37.43%37.17%35.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Azamat Murzakanov (主隊):64.20%;Dominick Reyes (客隊):35.80%。 對於「Dominick Reyes (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.79的公平十進位賠率。 有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為2.85,因此產生+2.02%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +2.02%E +0.709%K +1.09%G +0.022%4.1%2026-10-18 03:59
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.230%E +0.082%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 03:49
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.90%E -4.76%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 12:04
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:05
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:05
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:05
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.19%E -5.73%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.56%E -0.567%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 03:50
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.05%E -2.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -2.63%E -0.968%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-24 03:55
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.34%E -2.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.63%E -0.968%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 19:45
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.34%E -2.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -3.71%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 15:21
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.05%E -2.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 22:57
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.05%E -2.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.05%E -2.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 21:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.86%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.86%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:21
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.69%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.69%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.69%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -1.13%E -0.731%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -8.00%E -3.11%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 01:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.41%E -1.59%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 21:40
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -1.77%E -1.16%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -9.79%E -3.89%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.77%E -1.16%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 20:37
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.92%EV -13.97%E -10.42%K -41.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.08%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-21 12:05
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-10-24 03:54
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-10-24 02:40
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-23 20:45
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-23 21:15
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-24 04:20
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-10-24 02:05

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85%8.1%2026-10-22 11:55