默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Azamat Murzakanov v Dominick Reyes

2026-10-24 17:40 UTC — MMA

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Azamat Murzakanov (主队)

预测 64.22%1.56公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.719%
Kelly -2.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
62.03%64.19%64.39%66.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.471.451.5474.63%68.00%68.97%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

Dominick Reyes (客队)

预测 35.78%2.79公平赔率
EV +1.99%
优势 +0.697%
Kelly +1.07%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
33.72%35.81%35.61%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.482.672.692.8540.32%37.39%37.17%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Azamat Murzakanov (主队):64.22%;Dominick Reyes (客队):35.78%。 对于“Dominick Reyes (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.79。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.85,由此产生+1.99%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +1.99%E +0.697%K +1.07%G +0.021%4.1%2026-10-18 03:59
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.196%E +0.070%K +0.109%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 03:49
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 12:04
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:05
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:05
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:05
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 12:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.17%E -5.71%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 03:50
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -3.03%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -2.31%E -0.846%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-24 04:55
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.67%E -0.980%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 19:45
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 15:21
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.03%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -4.10%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 04:49
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.03%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.03%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 21:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:21
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.25%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -1.11%E -0.719%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -8.03%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 01:43
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -1.11%E -0.719%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -8.39%E -3.28%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 05:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.75%E -1.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 20:37
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.92%EV -13.95%E -10.41%K -41.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.08%EV -11.26%E -4.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-21 12:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.92%2.85I 35.09%NM 35.08%0.0%2026-10-24 04:55
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-10-24 02:40
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-23 20:45
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-23 21:15
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-24 04:20
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-10-24 02:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85%8.1%2026-10-22 11:55