Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhu Rong v Victor Martinez

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 13:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

94%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhu Rong (Local)

Prediction 93.53%1.07fair odd

EV -4.60%

Edge -4.51%

Kelly -229.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

92.72%93.53%93.53%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.021.021.0299.01%98.36%98.04%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Victor Martinez (Visit)

Prediction 6.47%15.46fair odd

EV +9.95%

Edge +0.585%

Kelly +0.622%

Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

5.66%6.47%6.47%7.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

13.0014.7414.5017.007.69%6.78%6.90%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhu Rong (Local): 93.53%; Victor Martinez (Visit): 6.47%. For Victor Martinez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.95%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -229.86%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.95%E +0.585%K +0.622%G +0.062%	3.9%	2026-05-27 22:39
BetAnything🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -229.86%G +0.000%	15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV -0.072%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-28 04:50
Bovada🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -229.86%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.98%E -0.199%K -0.213%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-28 13:27
Neds🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.53%E -5.48%K -553.25%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -9.45%E -0.675%K -0.727%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-28 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.53%E -5.48%K -553.25%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -9.45%E -0.675%K -0.727%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-28 03:49
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -229.86%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.92%E -1.22%K -1.33%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 23:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.75%	11.20I 8.93%NM 8.40%	33.00I 3.03%NM 2.85%	6.3%	2026-05-28 09:49