Language:English
Zhang Mingyang v Alonzo Menifield
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zhang Mingyang (Local)
Prediction 67.06%1.49fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -6.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.27%67.26%67.01%69.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.411.401.4572.46%70.91%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alonzo Menifield (Visit)
Prediction 32.94%3.04fair odd
EV +3.75%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%32.74%32.99%34.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.922.953.1537.74%34.29%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhang Mingyang (Local): 67.06%; Alonzo Menifield (Visit): 32.94%. For Alonzo Menifield (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.75%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.45%E -5.40%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.75%E +1.19%K +1.74%G +0.065% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 17:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.45%E -5.40%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.75%E +1.19%K +1.74%G +0.065% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -5.44%E -3.86%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV +2.43%E +0.781%K +1.15%G +0.028% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.454%E +0.149%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.19%E -0.398%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.19%E -0.398%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.45%E -5.40%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.19%E -0.398%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 02:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 07:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 06:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 06:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 06:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 06:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 06:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 06:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 06:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.45%E -5.40%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.84%E -0.963%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.44%E -3.86%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.31%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.15%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 12:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.10%E -2.87%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -7.12%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.76%E -1.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.11%E -4.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -7.45%E -5.40%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 08:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.43%E -2.38%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.77%E -3.36%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -5.44%E -3.86%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -12.72%E -4.80%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19% | -0.2% | 2026-05-30 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 12:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.34% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 07:10 |