The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Zachary Reese v Mickey Gall

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zachary Reese (Local)

Prediction 77.97%1.28fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -10.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%77.92%77.85%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.231.231.2586.96%81.38%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mickey Gall (Visit)

Prediction 22.03%4.54fair odd
EV +10.15%
Edge +2.03%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.257%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%22.08%22.15%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.184.085.0028.17%23.92%24.54%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zachary Reese (Local): 77.97%; Mickey Gall (Visit): 22.03%. For Mickey Gall (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.15%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.77%E -7.50%K -51.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.15%E +2.03%K +2.54%G +0.257%5.5%2026-10-31 22:25
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +5.74%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087%4.2%2026-10-31 22:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.34%E +0.291%K +0.371%G +0.005%3.7%2026-10-31 22:29
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.34%E +0.291%K +0.371%G +0.005%3.7%2026-10-31 20:50
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV +0.455%E +0.100%K +0.128%G +0.001%3.2%2026-10-31 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.867%E -0.193%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.867%E -0.193%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 20:39
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.63%EV -2.63%E -0.595%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 22:14
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.07%E -0.698%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-30 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.07%E -0.698%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 20:50
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -4.17%E -0.959%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.32%E -2.67%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.37%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.37%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-30 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 01:45
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 16:30
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 05:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 14:10
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 07:15
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:55
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:54
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:54
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:55
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.66%E -4.67%K -26.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -17.39%E -4.64%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 22:53
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -17.39%E -4.64%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -17.39%E -4.64%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%EV -10.33%E -8.99%K -68.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%EV -21.79%E -6.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-30 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.26I 79.37%NM 79.58%4.91I 20.37%NM 20.42%-0.3%2026-10-31 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-10-31 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-10-31 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-10-31 22:15
Polymarket◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-10-31 21:10
Novig◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-10-31 21:45
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-10-31 21:00
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-10-31 22:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.89%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.26%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84%8.6%2026-10-30 14:15