Language:English
Yan Xiaonan v Denise Gomes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yan Xiaonan (Local)
Prediction 56.88%1.76fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.53%56.99%56.86%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.671.671.7466.67%59.81%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denise Gomes (Visit)
Prediction 43.12%2.32fair odd
EV +7.81%
Edge +3.12%
Kelly +5.20%
Growth +0.406%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%43.01%43.14%46.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.162.192.5052.08%46.39%45.77%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yan Xiaonan (Local): 56.88%; Denise Gomes (Visit): 43.12%. For Denise Gomes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.81%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -14.68%E -9.79%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +7.81%E +3.12%K +5.20%G +0.406% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +2.63%E +1.11%K +1.91%G +0.050% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.34%E +0.570%K +0.992%G +0.013% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.818%E -0.355%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 22:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.68%E -0.737%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.11%E -0.930%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.88%E -2.29%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.40%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 12:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.88%E -2.29%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.40%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.88%E -2.29%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.27%E -1.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.02%E -3.00%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 06:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.02%E -3.00%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.02%E -3.00%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.02%E -3.00%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 05:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.02%E -3.00%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 05:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.02%E -3.00%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 08:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 12:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 04:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.02%E -3.00%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.42%E -2.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 12:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.29%E -4.47%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.74%E -1.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.03%E -0.594%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.60%E -5.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.03%E -0.594%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -12.03%E -5.90%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.03%E -0.594%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -12.03%E -5.90%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.03%E -0.594%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -12.03%E -5.90%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -1.60%E -0.926%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -12.89%E -6.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -1.60%E -0.926%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -12.89%E -6.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.17%E -1.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.17%E -1.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.17%E -1.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 12:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -2.74%E -1.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -15.05%E -7.64%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.78%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.22%EV -17.20%E -8.96%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.54% | 0.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 12:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 12:07 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.02% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 62.55% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 37.45% | 59.9% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 23:10 |