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Yadier DelValle v Jordan Leavitt
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yadier DelValle (Local)
Prediction 76.51%1.31fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -7.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.38%76.67%76.19%78.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.241.231.2884.03%80.52%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jordan Leavitt (Visit)
Prediction 23.49%4.26fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +0.766%
Kelly +0.991%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.68%23.33%23.81%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.124.254.4028.57%24.28%23.53%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yadier DelValle (Local): 76.51%; Jordan Leavitt (Visit): 23.49%. For Jordan Leavitt (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +3.37%E +0.766%K +0.991%G +0.033% | 4.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +3.37%E +0.766%K +0.991%G +0.033% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 02:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.20%E +0.505%K +0.656%G +0.014% | 4.3% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.20%E +0.505%K +0.656%G +0.014% | 4.3% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -8.96%E -7.53%K -47.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +1.02%E +0.238%K +0.310%G +0.003% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.13%E -4.14%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 07:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.90%E -4.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.153%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.37%E -3.49%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.33%E -0.316%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 07:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%EV -2.07%E -1.62%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%EV -5.56%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.37%E -3.49%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.37%E -3.49%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.37%E -3.49%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.37%E -3.49%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.37%E -3.49%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.37%E -3.49%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.14%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.84%E -2.23%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.20%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.84%E -2.23%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.20%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.48%EV -2.84%E -2.23%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -8.14%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.84%E -2.23%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.84%E -2.23%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.37%E -3.49%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.37%E -3.49%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -2.84%E -2.23%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -17.77%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 23.01% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.59% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 23.41% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 22:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.47% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85% | 8.3% | 2026-02-20 12:55 |