Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wes Schultz v Jackson McVey

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 21:35 UTC

Final: Jackson McVey 1–0 Wes Schultz

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wes Schultz (Local)

Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV -0.397%
Edge -0.152%
Kelly -0.247%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.80%38.23%38.12%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.472.502.6143.86%40.41%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jackson McVey (Visit)

Prediction 61.84%1.62fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.77%61.88%63.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.561.5867.11%64.59%64.10%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wes Schultz (Local): 38.16%; Jackson McVey (Visit): 61.84%. For Wes Schultz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.61, with an expected value of -0.397%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -0.397%E -0.152%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 21:10
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 21:34
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 16:09
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:34
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.62%E -4.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 21:34
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:25
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 21:34
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 07:59
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 21:15
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 21:14
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 03:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 09:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 21:29
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 21:24
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 22:50
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -6.12%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 06:09
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.88%E -2.82%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 15:34
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 15:34
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 15:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 15:34
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 15:33
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.65%E -3.16%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.65%E -3.16%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 21:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 08:40
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 08:39
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -12.99%E -5.70%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.48%EV -7.86%E -5.28%K -16.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-20 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-08-22 21:34
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-22 21:30
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-08-22 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-08-22 21:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-08-22 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-08-22 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-08-22 21:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84%8.5%2026-08-19 08:33