Language:English
Wes Schultz v Ben Johnston
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wes Schultz (Local)
Prediction 28.69%3.49fair odd
EV +115.18%
Edge +15.36%
Kelly +17.72%
Growth +20.41%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%28.96%28.25%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.104.805.137.5047.62%20.83%19.51%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Johnston (Visit)
Prediction 71.31%1.40fair odd
EV +26.22%
Edge +14.81%
Kelly +34.05%
Growth +8.93%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%71.04%71.75%87.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.311.161.7792.59%76.10%86.21%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wes Schultz (Local): 28.69%; Ben Johnston (Visit): 71.31%. For Wes Schultz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +115.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +115.18%E +15.36%K +17.72%G +20.41% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +115.18%E +15.36%K +17.72%G +20.41% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +115.18%E +15.36%K +17.72%G +20.41% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +115.18%E +15.36%K +17.72%G +20.41% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +115.18%E +15.36%K +17.72%G +20.41% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +115.18%E +15.36%K +17.72%G +20.41% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +100.83%E +14.40%K +16.81%G +16.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -22.99%E -21.28%K -287.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +93.66%E +13.88%K +16.29%G +15.26% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +93.66%E +13.88%K +16.29%G +15.26% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +93.66%E +13.88%K +16.29%G +15.26% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 09:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +93.66%E +13.88%K +16.29%G +15.26% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +93.66%E +13.88%K +16.29%G +15.26% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -22.27%E -20.43%K -247.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +86.49%E +13.31%K +15.73%G +13.60% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -22.99%E -21.28%K -287.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +77.88%E +12.56%K +14.98%G +11.66% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -20.13%E -17.98%K -167.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV +69.27%E +11.74%K +14.14%G +9.79% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -20.13%E -17.98%K -167.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 09:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +57.80%E +10.51%K +12.84%G +7.42% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -18.71%E -16.41%K -133.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 09:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +36.28%E +7.64%K +9.67%G +3.51% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -15.85%E -13.44%K -88.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +7.59%E +2.02%K +2.76%G +0.209% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -10.15%E -8.06%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 09:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.417%E +0.119%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.01%E -6.21%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +0.417%E +0.119%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -9.44%E -7.43%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -2.31%E -1.68%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -35.45%E -15.75%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +17.66%E +10.70%K +27.17%G +4.80% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 20:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -35.45%E -15.75%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +17.66%E +10.70%K +27.17%G +4.80% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -35.45%E -15.75%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +17.66%E +10.70%K +27.17%G +4.80% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 07:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -35.45%E -15.75%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +17.66%E +10.70%K +27.17%G +4.80% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 07:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -35.45%E -15.75%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +17.66%E +10.70%K +27.17%G +4.80% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -36.31%E -16.35%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV +23.37%E +13.51%K +32.01%G +7.48% | 2.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -36.88%E -16.76%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +19.09%E +11.43%K +28.49%G +5.44% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -38.32%E -17.82%K -33.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +20.51%E +12.14%K +29.73%G +6.10% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -38.60%E -18.04%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +21.94%E +12.83%K +30.90%G +6.78% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -39.75%E -18.93%K -36.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +26.22%E +14.81%K +34.05%G +8.93% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 09:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56% | -0.2% | 2026-05-02 09:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 09:03 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 28.41% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 71.59% | 39.7% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 48.62% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 51.38% | 58.2% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |