The School of Odds

Vlasto Cepo v Gilbert Urbina

2026-08-01 22:00 UTC — MMA

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Vlasto Cepo (Local)

Prediction 74.66%1.34fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -12.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.66%74.66%74.66%74.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.291.291.291.2978%78%78%78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Gilbert Urbina (Visit)

Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -0.972%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%25.34%25.34%25.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.803.803.803.8026%26%26%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.69%E -0.972%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.83%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.34%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.83%7.3%2026-07-24 01:30