Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 2.18
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virna Jandiroba (Local): 54.59%; Tabatha Ricci (Visit): 45.41%. For Tabatha Ricci (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.74%E -0.967%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.74%E -0.967%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.29%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.83%E -1.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 20:43 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.82%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.54%E -2.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.54%E -2.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.82%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 12:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 22:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 08:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.56%E -3.21%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.00%E -0.460%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 00:47 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.37%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.37%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.20%E -4.23%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.37%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.34% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.66% | 0.0% | 2026-04-05 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 00:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 21:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:30 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.45% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.27% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 22:34 |