The School of Odds
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Vedat Hoduk v Nikola Todorovic

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Vedat Hoduk (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -68.97%
Kelly -222.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.29%0.00%0.00%63.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.441.441.4569.44%69.20%69.20%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Todorovic (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -40.00%
Kelly -66.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.55%0.00%0.00%36.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.502.502.5040.00%40.00%40.00%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vedat Hoduk (Local): 0.00%; Nikola Todorovic (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%9.0%2026-09-03 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%9.4%2026-09-03 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.