The School of Odds
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Vanessa Demopoulos v Yazmin Jauregui

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 21:10 UTC

Final: Yazmin Jauregui 1–0 Vanessa Demopoulos

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanessa Demopoulos (Local)

Prediction 13.27%7.54fair odd
EV +6.14%
Edge +0.767%
Kelly +0.877%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.29%13.30%15.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.757.017.008.0017.39%14.26%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yazmin Jauregui (Visit)

Prediction 86.73%1.15fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -23.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.81%86.71%86.70%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.101.111.1297.09%90.80%90.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanessa Demopoulos (Local): 13.27%; Yazmin Jauregui (Visit): 86.73%. For Vanessa Demopoulos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.14%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.14%E +0.767%K +0.877%G +0.054%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.33%E -5.86%K -79.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 23:09
Coolbet🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 12.57%EV +1.50%E +0.195%K +0.225%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.43%EV -4.59%E -4.18%K -45.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 21:14
ReBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.495%E -0.066%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.59%E -4.18%K -45.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 09:05
NordicBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.495%E -0.066%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.59%E -4.18%K -45.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.495%E -0.066%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.59%E -4.18%K -45.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 20:30
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.495%E -0.066%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.33%E -5.86%K -79.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 12:54
Pinnacle🎯7.48I 13.37%NM 13.02%EV -0.760%E -0.102%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.98%EV -2.86%E -2.55%K -23.83%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-26 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯7.48I 13.37%NM 12.92%EV -0.760%E -0.102%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.08%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-24 23:49
Betsson🎯7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -2.49%E -0.338%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.19%EV -6.33%E -5.86%K -79.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 15:10
BetUS🎯7.05I 14.18%NM 13.60%EV -6.47%E -0.917%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.40%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 23:49
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.13%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 03:24
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.13%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 20:50
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.13%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 20:30
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.13%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.59%E -4.18%K -45.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.13%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.59%E -4.18%K -45.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 21:00
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.13%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.59%E -4.18%K -45.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.13%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.46%E -5.01%K -60.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -9.78%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 12:39
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:39
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:39
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:39
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:39
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:39
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:39
BetMGM🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.45%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 13:24
BetAnything🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -17.08%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.59%E -4.18%K -45.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 20:45
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.19%EV -23.71%E -4.12%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 84.81%EV -10.67%E -10.35%K -355.51%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-19 23:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎8.38I 11.93%NM 11.97%1.14I 87.72%NM 88.03%-0.3%2026-09-26 20:30
Matchbook◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-09-26 21:00
Novig◎7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%0.7%2026-09-25 17:25
ProphetX◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%4.0%2026-09-26 21:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.75%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.01%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.24%8.9%2026-09-26 20:45