Language:English
Valter Walker v Thomas Petersen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valter Walker (Local)
Prediction 62.43%1.60fair odd
EV -0.736%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.35%62.53%62.44%65.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.531.5968.97%65.66%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Thomas Petersen (Visit)
Prediction 37.57%2.66fair odd
EV +4.07%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.67%37.47%37.56%39.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.7741.67%39.32%39.22%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valter Walker (Local): 62.43%; Thomas Petersen (Visit): 37.57%. For Thomas Petersen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.07%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -8.23%E -5.60%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV +4.07%E +1.47%K +2.30%G +0.094% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -8.23%E -5.60%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV +4.07%E +1.47%K +2.30%G +0.094% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.57%E -0.598%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-25 15:30 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-24 20:38 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.07%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.61%E -1.67%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.45%E -1.34%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-25 15:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.45%E -1.34%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.86%E -2.51%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.82%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 03:10 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.61%E -1.67%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.86%E -2.51%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 18:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-25 11:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-25 12:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 11:44 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 11:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.73%E -3.80%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 11:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.73%E -3.80%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 11:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.73%E -3.80%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 11:44 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.73%E -3.80%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 11:43 |
| Bally Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.73%E -3.80%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 11:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.73%E -3.80%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 03:04 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 03:05 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 14:50 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.73%E -3.80%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 10:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.95%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 04:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -0.736%E -0.463%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -9.08%E -3.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 14:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.23%E -2.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.83%E -4.10%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 11:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.48%E -6.54%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.83%E -4.10%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 11:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-07-25 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 13:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 19:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 23:05 |