The School of Odds

Valentina Shevchenko v Natalia Silva

2026-12-31 15:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Valentina Shevchenko (Local)

Prediction 68.89%1.45fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -8.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.89%68.89%68.89%68.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.401.401.4071.43%71.43%71.43%71.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Natalia Silva (Visit)

Prediction 31.11%3.21fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.11%31.11%31.11%31.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.103.103.1032.26%32.26%32.26%32.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.56%E -2.54%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.77%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.83%7.0%2026-07-06 22:54