Language:English
Valentin Moldavsky v Bruno Cappelozza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valentin Moldavsky (Local)
assuming max odds 1.14
Bruno Cappelozza (Visit)
assuming max odds 7.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valentin Moldavsky (Local): 86.00%; Bruno Cappelozza (Visit): 14.00%. For Bruno Cappelozza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.10, with an expected value of -0.568%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.97%E -1.72%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -21.57%E -3.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.97%E -1.72%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -21.57%E -3.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.97%E -1.72%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -21.57%E -3.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.69%E -3.29%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -7.43%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 23:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.55%E -4.09%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -0.568%E -0.080%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.41%E -4.91%K -54.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.97%E -0.281%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 23:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.