Language:English
Usman Nurmagomedov v Archie Colgan
Head to Head
Usman Nurmagomedov (Local)
Prediction 78.22%1.28fair odd
EV -8.48%
Edge -7.25%
Kelly -49.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.08%78.22%78.22%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.151.151.1788.50%86.96%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Archie Colgan (Visit)
Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.444%
Kelly -0.571%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%21.78%21.78%22.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.154.154.5026.32%24.10%24.10%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.48%E -7.25%K -49.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.00%E -0.444%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.08%EV -11.61%E -10.27%K -89.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.92%EV -17.24%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-29 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.