Language:English
Uros Medic v Daniel Rodriguez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Uros Medic (Local)
Prediction 75.71%1.32fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -5.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.96%75.90%75.81%78.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.251.3083.33%80.45%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Rodriguez (Visit)
Prediction 24.29%4.12fair odd
EV +8.10%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.35%
Growth +0.190%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.52%24.10%24.19%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.903.874.4528.99%25.61%25.87%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Uros Medic (Local): 75.71%; Daniel Rodriguez (Visit): 24.29%. For Daniel Rodriguez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +8.10%E +1.82%K +2.35%G +0.190% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +8.10%E +1.82%K +2.35%G +0.190% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.996%G +0.032% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 08:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.88%E -5.59%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +2.02%E +0.482%K +0.632%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.808%E +0.195%K +0.257%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.406%E -0.099%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 07:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 12:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.12%E -4.94%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.88%E -5.59%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-01 19:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 13:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.90%EV -1.58%E -1.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.10%EV -5.75%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.88%E -5.59%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 19:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.09%E -2.42%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 19:23 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 19:22 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 09:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.88%E -5.59%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.88%E -5.59%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 07:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -13.77%E -3.88%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 19:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.19%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -16.20%E -4.69%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 96.84% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 3.16% | -7.0% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 19:27 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:27 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.89% | 15.38I 6.50%NM 6.11% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.11% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.89% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 19:28 |
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