Uros Medic v Daniel Rodriguez

2026-08-01 22:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

74%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Uros Medic (Local)

Prediction 74.29%1.35fair odd

EV -1.19%

Edge -0.898%

Kelly -3.62%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.46%74.36%74.29%76.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.201.251.231.3383%80%81%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Daniel Rodriguez (Visit)

Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd

EV +2.32%

Edge +0.584%

Kelly +0.780%

Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.61%25.64%25.71%27.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.503.633.523.9829%28%28%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Marathon Bet	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -8.62%E -7.01%K -37.49%G +0.000%	3.98I 25.13%NM 23.61%EV +2.32%E +0.584%K +0.780%G +0.018%	6.4%	2026-07-24 00:34
Betclic (FR)	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.88%E -6.35%K -32.83%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-24 02:19
BetOnline.ag	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -1.19%E -0.898%K -3.62%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-24 05:40
Winamax (FR)	1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -10.85%E -9.04%K -54.26%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-07-24 00:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.40%	4.12I 24.27%NM 22.75%	33.00I 3.03%NM 2.84%	6.7%	2026-07-24 00:34