Tom Aspinall v Ciryl Gane

2027-01-01 03:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tom Aspinall (Local)

Prediction 53.25%1.88fair odd

EV -4.16%

Edge -2.31%

Kelly -5.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.25%53.25%53.25%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.801.801.8056%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ciryl Gane (Visit)

Prediction 46.75%2.14fair odd

EV -4.16%

Edge -2.03%

Kelly -3.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.75%46.75%46.75%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.052.052.052.0549%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 21:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.