The School of Odds

Tom Aspinall v Ciryl Gane

2026-12-31 20:00 — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Tom Aspinall (Local)

1.5265.79%Min
1.5265.79%Mean
1.5265.79%Median
1.5265.79%Max
63.11%1.585Min
63.11%1.585Max
63.11%1.585Mean
63.11%1.585Median
63.11%1.585IQM
63.11%1.585Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.52 under the IQM model: 63.11%

EV -4.08%Edge -2.68%Kelly -7.84%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Ciryl Gane (Visit)

2.6038.46%Min
2.6038.46%Mean
2.6038.46%Median
2.6038.46%Max
36.89%2.711Min
36.89%2.711Max
36.89%2.711Mean
36.89%2.711Median
36.89%2.711IQM
36.89%2.711Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 36.89%

EV -4.08%Edge -1.57%Kelly -2.55%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTom Aspinall (Local) ▼Ciryl Gane (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.52I 65.79% NM 63.11%EV -4.08% E -2.68% K -7.84% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.89%EV -4.08% E -1.57% K -2.55% G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-20 05:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet1.64I 60.98%2.35I 42.55%33.00I 3.03%6.6%2026-02-20 05:55