Language:English
Timothy Cuamba v Benardo Sopaj
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Timothy Cuamba (Local)
Prediction 47.25%2.12fair odd
EV +3.95%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +3.30%
Growth +0.130%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%47.01%47.26%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.012.002.2052.08%49.74%50.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Benardo Sopaj (Visit)
Prediction 52.75%1.90fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%52.99%52.74%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.811.8458.82%55.57%55.10%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Timothy Cuamba (Local): 47.25%; Benardo Sopaj (Visit): 52.75%. For Timothy Cuamba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.95%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +3.95%E +1.80%K +3.30%G +0.130% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -10.33%E -6.08%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +3.95%E +1.80%K +3.30%G +0.130% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -10.33%E -6.08%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.72%E -0.825%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.69%E -4.39%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -2.66%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.58%E -3.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 00:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -2.66%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.58%E -3.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.13%E -1.53%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.05%E -2.81%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 20:12 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.13%E -1.53%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.13%E -1.53%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.13%E -1.53%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.13%E -1.53%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 00:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.61%E -1.77%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.00%E -2.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 00:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.61%E -1.77%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.53%E -2.50%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.08%E -2.01%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.55%E -2.25%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.00%E -2.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.55%E -2.25%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.50%E -2.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.50%E -2.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.05%E -2.81%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.50%E -2.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.05%E -2.81%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.50%E -2.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.05%E -2.81%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.50%E -2.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.05%E -2.81%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.50%E -2.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.50%E -2.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.50%E -2.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.97%E -3.00%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.94%E -1.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.44%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.44%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.44%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.44%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.27%E -5.39%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 00:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.86%E -4.03%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.05%E -2.81%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -9.28%E -4.83%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | -0.0% | 2026-05-16 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 00:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 00:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 00:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |