Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Timo Feucht v Zdenek Polivka

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Timo Feucht (Local)

Prediction 64.52%1.55fair odd

EV -7.74%

Edge -5.41%

Kelly -18.00%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.52%64.52%64.52%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.401.411.401.4371.43%70.92%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zdenek Polivka (Visit)

Prediction 35.48%2.82fair odd

EV -2.42%

Edge -0.880%

Kelly -1.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.73%35.48%35.48%35.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.702.752.7538.46%37.04%36.36%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Timo Feucht (Local): 64.52%; Zdenek Polivka (Visit): 35.48%. For Zdenek Polivka (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.75, with an expected value of -2.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -18.00%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-10-16 14:23
Unibet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.68%E -6.91%K -24.19%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.42%E -0.880%K -1.38%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-16 14:25
Grosvenor🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.68%E -6.91%K -24.19%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.42%E -0.880%K -1.38%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-16 14:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.