Language:English
Terrance Mckinney v Kyle Nelson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Terrance Mckinney (Local)
Prediction 62.02%1.61fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.97%62.03%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.531.5866.67%65.15%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kyle Nelson (Visit)
Prediction 37.98%2.63fair odd
EV +0.656%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.398%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%38.03%37.97%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.512.502.6542.92%39.89%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terrance Mckinney (Local): 62.02%; Kyle Nelson (Visit): 37.98%. For Kyle Nelson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.656%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +0.656%E +0.248%K +0.398%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 03:02 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.98%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.656%E +0.248%K +0.398%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.98%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.656%E +0.248%K +0.398%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 13:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.98%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.656%E +0.248%K +0.398%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.24%E -0.478%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-28 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.24%E -0.478%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.24%E -0.478%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.25%E -2.09%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.14%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.98%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.14%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.52%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 00:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.52%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.52%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 12:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.25%E -2.09%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.28%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.25%E -2.09%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 02:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -6.56%E -2.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.25%E -2.09%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.70%E -3.17%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.25%E -2.09%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.70%E -3.17%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.63%E -1.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.63%E -1.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.60%E -4.03%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.74%E -4.57%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -11.50%E -4.94%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 21:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-03-28 01:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80% | 1.8% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.73% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.40% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 02:29 |