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Tainara Lisboa v Lucia Szabová

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 21:13 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tainara Lisboa (Local)

Prediction 14.79%6.76fair odd
EV +3.53%
Edge +0.504%
Kelly +0.588%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%14.83%14.70%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.206.107.0020.00%16.13%16.39%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lucia Szabová (Visit)

Prediction 85.21%1.17fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -13.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.43%85.17%85.30%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.121.121.1596.15%89.41%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tainara Lisboa (Local): 14.79%; Lucia Szabová (Visit): 85.21%. For Tainara Lisboa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.76. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.53%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +3.53%E +0.504%K +0.588%G +0.021%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +3.53%E +0.504%K +0.588%G +0.021%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 19:50
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +3.53%E +0.504%K +0.588%G +0.021%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.53%E +0.504%K +0.588%G +0.021%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 20:40
Pinnacle🎯6.81I 14.68%NM 14.23%EV +0.718%E +0.105%K +0.124%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.77%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 19:35
NordicBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.170%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.170%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 19:50
BetUS🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -1.65%E -0.248%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 20:25
Betsson🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -2.39%E -0.362%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 14:40
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 20:04
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 20:40
Coolbet🎯6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV -4.90%E -0.762%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 21:05
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.78%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 22:39
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.78%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.78%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 22:40
BetRivers🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.78%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.78%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 22:39
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.78%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.78%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 22:40
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.78%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.78%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 22:39
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 14:34
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 22:39
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 14:59
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -12.74%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -2.01%E -1.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 07:45
BetAnything🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -13.48%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.05%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 20:25
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.53%EV -22.35%E -4.26%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 83.47%EV -11.38%E -10.94%K -284.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-28 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -26.05%E -5.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 07:45
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -26.05%E -5.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 08:10
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -26.05%E -5.21%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 07:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎7.50I 13.33%NM 13.29%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.71%0.3%2026-10-31 20:50
Novig◎6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61%0.7%2026-10-31 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-10-31 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-10-31 21:05
Polymarket◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%1.0%2026-10-31 21:05
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-10-31 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-10-31 21:05
ProphetX◎6.30I 15.87%NM 15.32%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.68%3.6%2026-10-31 21:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 14.89%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.27%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83%9.2%2026-10-30 09:55

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