The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tai Tuivasa v Robelis Despaigne

2026-09-20 00:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tai Tuivasa (Local)

Prediction 20.00%5.00fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -0.833%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.00%20.00%20.00%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.804.804.804.8020.83%20.83%20.83%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Robelis Despaigne (Visit)

Prediction 80.00%1.25fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -20.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.00%80.00%80.00%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.201.201.2083.33%83.33%83.33%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tai Tuivasa (Local): 20.00%; Robelis Despaigne (Visit): 80.00%. For Tai Tuivasa (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.80, with an expected value of -4.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.00%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.00%E -3.33%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 16:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.