The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Steven Krt v Oskar Szczepaniak

2026-11-21 11:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Steven Krt (Local)

Prediction 26.56%3.77fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.838%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.56%26.56%26.56%26.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.653.653.6527.40%27.40%27.40%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oskar Szczepaniak (Visit)

Prediction 73.44%1.36fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -9.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.44%73.44%73.44%73.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.321.321.3275.76%75.76%75.76%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Steven Krt (Local): 26.56%; Oskar Szczepaniak (Visit): 73.44%. For Oskar Szczepaniak (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.32, with an expected value of -3.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -3.06%E -0.838%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.06%E -2.32%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-26 12:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.