Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Steven Krt v Oskar Szczepaniak

2026-10-21 10:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

32%

68%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Steven Krt (Local)

Prediction 32.30%3.10fair odd

EV -7.93%

Edge -2.78%

Kelly -4.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.30%32.30%32.30%32.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.852.852.852.8535.09%35.09%35.09%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oskar Szczepaniak (Visit)

Prediction 67.70%1.48fair odd

EV -7.93%

Edge -5.83%

Kelly -22.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.70%67.70%67.70%67.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.361.361.3673.53%73.53%73.53%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Steven Krt (Local): 32.30%; Oskar Szczepaniak (Visit): 67.70%. For Steven Krt (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.85, with an expected value of -7.93%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.93%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.93%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-10-20 04:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.