Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Steven Krt v Daniel Kolasiński

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Steven Krt (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -58.14%

Kelly -138.89%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.01%0.00%0.00%54.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.721.721.721.7258.14%58.14%58.14%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Kolasiński (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -49.50%

Kelly -98.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.99%0.00%0.00%45.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.022.022.022.0249.50%49.50%49.50%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Steven Krt (Local): 0.00%; Daniel Kolasiński (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%	7.6%	2026-05-15 13:45
Grosvenor🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%	7.6%	2026-05-15 13:45
LeoVegas🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%	7.6%	2026-05-15 13:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.