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Steven Hill v Sado Ucar

2026-11-14 20:35 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Steven Hill (Local)

Prediction 44.30%2.26fair odd
EV -6.98%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -6.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%44.30%44.30%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.102.102.1047.62%47.62%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sado Ucar (Visit)

Prediction 55.70%1.80fair odd
EV -6.98%
Edge -4.18%
Kelly -10.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%55.70%55.70%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.671.671.6759.88%59.88%59.88%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Steven Hill (Local): 44.30%; Sado Ucar (Visit): 55.70%. For Sado Ucar (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.67, with an expected value of -6.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-10 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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