Stephen Erceg v Ramazonbek Temirov

2026-07-25 09:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Stephen Erceg (Local)

Prediction 57.11%1.75fair odd

EV -3.49%

Edge -2.06%

Kelly -5.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.11%57.11%57.11%57.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.691.691.691.6959%59%59%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ramazonbek Temirov (Visit)

Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd

EV -3.49%

Edge -1.55%

Kelly -2.79%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.89%42.89%42.89%42.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.252.252.252.2544%44%44%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.49%E -2.06%K -5.06%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-16 02:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	1.32I 75.76%NM 49.62%	1.30I 76.92%NM 50.38%	52.7%	2026-07-16 01:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.13%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.03%	33.00I 3.03%NM 2.84%	6.7%	2026-07-16 02:04