Language:English
Song Yadong v Deiveson Figueiredo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Song Yadong (Local)
Prediction 81.88%1.22fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -18.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.72%81.99%81.86%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.23%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deiveson Figueiredo (Visit)
Prediction 18.12%5.52fair odd
EV +8.69%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.151%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%18.01%18.14%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.345.386.0021.74%18.73%18.60%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Song Yadong (Local): 81.88%; Deiveson Figueiredo (Visit): 18.12%. For Deiveson Figueiredo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.52. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.69%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.69%E +1.45%K +1.74%G +0.151% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.17%E +0.724%K +0.877%G +0.037% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 13:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.45%E +0.259%K +0.315%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.45%E +0.259%K +0.315%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 13:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.45%E +0.259%K +0.315%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.45%E +0.259%K +0.315%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.45%E +0.259%K +0.315%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.45%E +0.259%K +0.315%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 13:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.45%E +0.259%K +0.315%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 00:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.45%E +0.259%K +0.315%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.47%EV -3.38%E -2.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.53%EV +0.542%E +0.098%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.542%E +0.098%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.20%E -3.59%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.364%E -0.066%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 08:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.364%E -0.066%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 13:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.18%E -0.403%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.18%E -0.403%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 20:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.18%E -0.403%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -3.08%E -0.576%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 10:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.20%E -3.59%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.99%E -0.752%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 06:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.99%E -0.752%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.38%E -2.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -4.89%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-19 05:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.20%E -3.59%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.89%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.20%E -3.59%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.89%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 07:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.89%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 21:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.38%E -2.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -5.80%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 07:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.20%E -3.59%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.61%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.61%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.38%E -2.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.42%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.38%E -2.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.42%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.20%E -3.59%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.42%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.20%E -3.59%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.42%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -11.23%E -2.29%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 10:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -13.04%E -2.72%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 11:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.20%E -3.59%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.67%E -3.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.73% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 15.27% | 0.0% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.21% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.79% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.20% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.80% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.91% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 08:00 |