Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sidney Outlaw v Rasul Magomedov

2026-08-15 09:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

63%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sidney Outlaw (Local)

Prediction 62.50%1.60fair odd

EV -6.25%

Edge -4.17%

Kelly -12.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.50%62.50%62.50%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.501.501.5066.67%66.67%66.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rasul Magomedov (Visit)

Prediction 37.50%2.67fair odd

EV -6.25%

Edge -2.50%

Kelly -4.17%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.50%37.50%37.50%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.502.502.5040.00%40.00%40.00%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sidney Outlaw (Local): 62.50%; Rasul Magomedov (Visit): 37.50%. For Rasul Magomedov (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -6.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.50%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-12 23:43

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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