Language:English
Shauna Bannon v Nicolle Caliari
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shauna Bannon (Local)
Prediction 30.87%3.24fair odd
EV +4.96%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%30.61%30.96%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.093.053.4036.36%32.35%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nicolle Caliari (Visit)
Prediction 69.13%1.45fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%69.39%69.04%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.56%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shauna Bannon (Local): 30.87%; Nicolle Caliari (Visit): 69.13%. For Shauna Bannon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.96%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +4.96%E +1.46%K +2.07%G +0.103% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -7.37%E -5.50%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +4.96%E +1.46%K +2.07%G +0.103% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -7.37%E -5.50%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +4.96%E +1.46%K +2.07%G +0.103% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.75%E -6.63%K -27.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 03:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +3.42%E +1.02%K +1.45%G +0.050% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -6.68%E -4.94%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.87%E +0.568%K +0.814%G +0.015% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.329%E +0.101%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 19:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -1.21%E -0.379%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -2.45%E -0.775%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.76%E -0.875%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.91%E -2.81%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 20:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.84%E -1.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 19:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -8.01%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -1.84%E -1.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.11%E -5.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.98% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 70.02% | -0.1% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.29I 30.40%NM 30.15% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.85% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.78% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.43% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 20:25 |