The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Shannon Clark v Ilara Joanne

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 00:35 UTC

Final: Shannon Clark 1–0 Ilara Joanne

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shannon Clark (Local)

Prediction 64.57%1.55fair odd
EV +18.16%
Edge +9.92%
Kelly +21.88%
Growth +3.97%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%64.57%64.57%74.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.601.741.8376.92%62.31%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ilara Joanne (Visit)

Prediction 35.43%2.82fair odd
EV +32.87%
Edge +8.76%
Kelly +11.95%
Growth +3.93%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%35.43%35.43%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.532.003.7555.56%39.58%49.88%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shannon Clark (Local): 64.57%; Ilara Joanne (Visit): 35.43%. For Ilara Joanne (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +18.16%E +9.92%K +21.88%G +3.97%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -35.16%E -19.21%K -42.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-28 00:29
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV +17.51%E +9.62%K +21.36%G +3.74%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -35.51%E -19.51%K -43.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 00:29
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV +16.22%E +9.01%K +20.28%G +3.29%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -36.22%E -20.12%K -45.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-28 00:29
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV +14.93%E +8.39%K +19.14%G +2.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -31.62%E -16.38%K -34.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 00:29
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV +9.77%E +5.75%K +13.95%G +1.36%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -26.30%E -12.65%K -24.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -15.42%E -11.77%K -49.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +32.87%E +8.76%K +11.95%G +3.93%3.0%2026-06-28 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -16.06%E -12.35%K -53.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +24.01%E +6.86%K +9.60%G +2.31%5.5%2026-06-27 23:19
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -16.06%E -12.35%K -53.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +24.01%E +6.86%K +9.60%G +2.31%5.5%2026-06-27 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.