The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Shanna Young v Viviane Araujo

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 01:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shanna Young (Local)

Prediction 13.72%7.29fair odd
EV +6.31%
Edge +0.815%
Kelly +0.935%
Growth +0.059%

assuming max odds 7.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.23%13.72%13.72%17.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.135.407.7518.52%16.31%18.52%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Viviane Araujo (Visit)

Prediction 86.28%1.16fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -11.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.57%86.28%86.28%87.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.141.1492.59%88.92%87.72%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanna Young (Local): 13.72%; Viviane Araujo (Visit): 86.28%. For Shanna Young (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.29. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +6.31%E +0.815%K +0.935%G +0.059%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -5.09%E -4.63%K -50.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 01:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +6.31%E +0.815%K +0.935%G +0.059%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 01:15
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +6.31%E +0.815%K +0.935%G +0.059%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 01:15
FanDuel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -12.20%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -2.50%E -2.21%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 01:15
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -25.92%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -1.64%E -1.44%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -25.92%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -1.64%E -1.44%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:24
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -25.92%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -1.64%E -1.44%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -25.92%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -1.64%E -1.44%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:24
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -25.92%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -1.64%E -1.44%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:24
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -25.92%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -1.64%E -1.44%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:25
Bally Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -25.92%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -1.64%E -1.44%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.