Language:English
Shanelle Dyer v Ravena Oliveira
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanelle Dyer (Local)
Prediction 81.16%1.23fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -13.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%81.05%81.06%82.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.181.191.2085.47%84.48%84.39%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ravena Oliveira (Visit)
Prediction 18.84%5.31fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.391%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.93%18.95%18.94%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.914.825.4022.22%20.37%20.73%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanelle Dyer (Local): 81.16%; Ravena Oliveira (Visit): 18.84%. For Ravena Oliveira (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +1.72%E +0.319%K +0.391%G +0.007% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -5.04%E -4.31%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV +0.778%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -5.04%E -4.31%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV +0.778%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.04%E -4.31%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.164%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.11%E -0.211%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.49%EV -5.04%E -4.31%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.51%EV -2.99%E -0.580%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.93%E -0.771%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.93%E -0.771%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 12:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.04%E -4.31%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.04%E -4.31%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.04%E -4.31%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.04%E -4.31%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -6.76%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.70%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 05:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -2.60%E -2.17%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -8.64%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.04%E -4.31%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.64%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.42%E -2.87%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.60%E -2.17%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.23%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.60%E -2.17%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.23%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.60%E -2.17%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.23%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.23%E -3.58%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.23%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.74% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.26% | -0.1% | 2026-03-21 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.15% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.85% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74% | 16.0% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.68% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 18.90% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.42% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |