Language:English
Shanelle Dyer v Elise Reed
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanelle Dyer (Local)
Prediction 86.07%1.16fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -13.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.69%85.94%86.03%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.111.111.1494.34%90.02%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Reed (Visit)
Prediction 13.93%7.18fair odd
EV +4.50%
Edge +0.600%
Kelly +0.693%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%14.06%13.97%16.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.856.676.757.5017.09%14.98%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanelle Dyer (Local): 86.07%; Elise Reed (Visit): 13.93%. For Elise Reed (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.18. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.50%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.33%E -4.84%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.50%E +0.600%K +0.693%G +0.031% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 21:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +1.02%E +0.141%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 20:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.33%E -4.84%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +1.02%E +0.141%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.33%E -4.84%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +1.02%E +0.141%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -0.653%E -0.092%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 20:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -1.07%E -0.151%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.46%E -0.352%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.46%E -0.352%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 19:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.46%E -0.352%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.84%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.46%E -0.352%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 20:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -3.86%E -0.559%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.71%EV -2.75%E -2.43%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 6.78I 14.75%NM 14.29%EV -5.53%E -0.816%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 21:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.95%E -0.881%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.64%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.33%E -4.84%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -6.64%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.04%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.43%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.84%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.43%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 19:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -1.88%E -1.65%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -14.31%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-19 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.20%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.16%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.80%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.75%E -2.43%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.40%E -2.73%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.75%E -2.43%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.40%E -2.73%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.40%E -2.73%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.33%E -4.84%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.40%E -2.73%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 20:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.69%EV -1.88%E -1.65%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV -18.49%E -3.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.05%EV -4.47%E -4.02%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -18.49%E -3.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.71% | 8.88I 11.26%NM 11.29% | -0.2% | 2026-08-22 21:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 21:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 21:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 21:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.37% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.81% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.82% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |