Seok Hyun Ko v Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

2026-07-18 21:00 — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Seok Hyun Ko (Local)

Prediction 64.29%1.56fair odd

EV -3.57%

Edge -2.38%

Kelly -7.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.29%64.29%64.29%64.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.501.501.501.50MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

64.29%1.556Min

64.29%1.556Max

64.29%1.556Mean

64.29%1.556Median

64.29%1.556IQM

64.29%1.556Margin-weighted

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Visit)

Prediction 35.71%2.80fair odd

EV -3.57%

Edge -1.32%

Kelly -2.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.71%35.71%35.71%35.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.702.702.702.70MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

35.71%2.800Min

35.71%2.800Max

35.71%2.800Mean

35.71%2.800Median

35.71%2.800IQM

35.71%2.800Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Seok Hyun Ko (Local) ▼	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Visit)	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.50I 66.67% NM 64.29%EV -3.57% E -2.38% K -7.14% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.71%EV -3.57% E -1.32% K -2.10% G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-08 21:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Seok Hyun Ko (Local)	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	1.54I 64.94% NM 49.17%	1.49I 67.11% NM 50.83%	32.0%	2026-07-08 21:30
Novig	1.00I 100.00% NM 73.26%	2.74I 36.50% NM 26.74%	36.5%	2026-07-09 02:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet	1.45I 68.97% NM 62.01%	2.55I 39.22% NM 35.26%	33.00I 3.03% NM 2.72%	11.2%	2026-07-08 22:20