Language:English
Sean Strickland v Anthony Hernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sean Strickland (Local)
Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV +0.317%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%30.41%30.49%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.143.203.3235.46%31.88%31.25%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anthony Hernandez (Visit)
Prediction 69.78%1.43fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%69.59%69.51%70.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.371.361.4174.63%73.20%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sean Strickland (Local): 30.22%; Anthony Hernandez (Visit): 69.78%. For Sean Strickland (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.317%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +0.317%E +0.096%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-22 02:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +0.317%E +0.096%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-22 03:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.287%E -0.087%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 03:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-20 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-20 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 03:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.00%E -2.16%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 03:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 01:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 03:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 02:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.70%E -2.68%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 03:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.09%E -3.75%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -8.75%E -2.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.00%E -2.16%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -1.60%E -1.14%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.86%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.70%EV -14.79%E -5.24%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.30%EV -4.40%E -3.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31% | 0.2% | 2026-02-22 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 03:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 03:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 03:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 03:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.93% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.59% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 22:20 |