Language:English
Sean O'Malley v Aiemann Zahabi
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sean O'Malley (Local)
Prediction 78.10%1.28fair odd
EV -0.814%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.55%78.01%78.00%79.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.2785.47%82.31%82.64%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aiemann Zahabi (Visit)
Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV +0.745%
Edge +0.162%
Kelly +0.207%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%21.99%22.00%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.224.254.6026.67%23.69%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sean O'Malley (Local): 78.10%; Aiemann Zahabi (Visit): 21.90%. For Aiemann Zahabi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.745%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.745%E +0.162%K +0.207%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 03:07 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.62%E -7.37%K -50.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +0.745%E +0.162%K +0.207%G +0.002% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 03:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.45%E -0.321%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.45%E -0.321%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.45%E -0.321%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 03:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.45%E -0.321%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.45%E -0.321%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.45%E -0.321%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.16%E -2.55%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.64%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.64%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.72%EV -2.38%E -1.90%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.28%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.84%E -6.65%K -43.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-15 03:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.16%E -2.55%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-15 03:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.94%E -3.20%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.94%E -3.20%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.92%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 03:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.94%E -3.20%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.92%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.92%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.92%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.92%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -0.814%E -0.641%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -8.67%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -2.38%E -1.90%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -9.11%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.38%E -1.90%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 03:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.40%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.40%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.40%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.40%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.49%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.49%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.49%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -7.06%E -5.93%K -37.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -14.59%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.06%E -5.93%K -37.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.68%E -4.07%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -3.94%E -3.20%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -16.78%E -4.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 03:07 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.62%E -7.37%K -50.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -17.87%E -4.77%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.38% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.62% | -0.0% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 03:11 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.84% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 22.16% | 1.2% | 2026-06-15 03:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.98% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.15% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 02:59 |