Language:English
Sean King v Jessie Rosas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sean King (Local)
Prediction 66.35%1.51fair odd
EV -0.479%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.958%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%66.39%66.28%69.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.441.451.5074.07%69.30%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessie Rosas (Visit)
Prediction 33.65%2.97fair odd
EV +6.34%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +2.94%
Growth +0.186%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.40%33.61%33.72%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.802.753.1640.82%35.70%36.36%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sean King (Local): 66.35%; Jessie Rosas (Visit): 33.65%. For Jessie Rosas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.34%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -8.44%E -6.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV +6.34%E +2.01%K +2.94%G +0.186% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV +2.98%E +0.973%K +1.45%G +0.043% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.958%E +0.319%K +0.479%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.45%E -4.57%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.958%E +0.319%K +0.479%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.958%E +0.319%K +0.479%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.958%E +0.319%K +0.479%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -4.46%E -3.10%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +0.285%E +0.096%K +0.144%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.724%E -0.245%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.80%E -2.62%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.80%E -2.62%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.12%E -3.58%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.77%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.77%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.80%E -2.62%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.45%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.80%E -2.62%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.46%E -3.10%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.46%E -3.10%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.46%E -3.10%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -7.79%E -2.84%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 17:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 17:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 17:21 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.14%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.479%E -0.319%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.83%E -4.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.47%EV -10.43%E -7.73%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -17.55%E -7.16%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.95% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 31.05% | 0.0% | 2026-09-12 18:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92% | 8.0% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.45% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |