Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sean Gauci v Allan Begosso

2026-07-31 23:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sean Gauci (Local)

Prediction 65.11%1.54fair odd

EV -7.54%

Edge -5.31%

Kelly -17.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.11%65.11%65.11%65.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.421.421.4270.42%70.42%70.42%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Allan Begosso (Visit)

Prediction 34.89%2.87fair odd

EV -7.54%

Edge -2.85%

Kelly -4.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.89%34.89%34.89%34.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.652.652.652.6537.74%37.74%37.74%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.96%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-28 21:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.