Santos Verdinez v Ray Hayes

2026-07-25 01:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Santos Verdinez (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -70.92%

Kelly -243.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.69%0.00%0.00%65.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.411.411.411.4171%71%71%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ray Hayes (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -37.04%

Kelly -58.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.31%0.00%0.00%34.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.702.702.702.7037%37%37%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%	8.0%	2026-07-24 10:05
Grosvenor	1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%	8.0%	2026-07-24 10:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.