The School of Odds

Sam Alvey v Uriah Hall

2026-07-24 22:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sam Alvey (Local)

Prediction 29.37%3.40fair odd
EV -7.48%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.37%29.37%29.37%29.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.153.153.1532%32%32%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Uriah Hall (Visit)

Prediction 70.63%1.42fair odd
EV -7.48%
Edge -5.71%
Kelly -24.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.63%70.63%70.63%70.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.311.311.311.3176%76%76%76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.48%E -5.71%K -24.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.