The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sabrinna de Sousa v Cheyanne Bowers

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 01:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sabrinna de Sousa (Local)

Prediction 75.94%1.32fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -13.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.92%75.94%75.90%76.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.271.271.2780.00%79.00%78.74%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cheyanne Bowers (Visit)

Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.441%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.51%24.06%24.10%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.773.604.1027.78%26.55%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sabrinna de Sousa (Local): 75.94%; Cheyanne Bowers (Visit): 24.06%. For Cheyanne Bowers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:34
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:35
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:34
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.37%E -0.333%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 00:45
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 00:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.