The School of Odds

Ryan Gandra v Zachary Reese

2026-07-11 21:30 — MMA

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Ryan Gandra (Local)

1.6062.50%Min
1.7158.57%Mean
1.7058.82%Median
1.7756.50%Max
54.26%1.843Min
58.44%1.711Max
55.95%1.787Mean
56.41%1.773Median
55.86%1.790IQM
56.00%1.786Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.77 under the IQM model: 55.86%

EV -1.12%Edge -0.635%Kelly -1.46%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Zachary Reese (Visit)

2.0548.78%Min
2.1446.72%Mean
2.1047.62%Median
2.2544.44%Max
41.56%2.406Min
45.74%2.186Max
44.05%2.270Mean
43.59%2.294Median
44.14%2.266IQM
44.00%2.273Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 44.14%

EV -0.690%Edge -0.307%Kelly -0.552%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerRyan Gandra (Local) ▼Zachary Reese (Visit)MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -1.12% E -0.635% K -1.46% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -7.31% E -3.48% K -6.65% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 11:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -2.24% E -1.28% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -8.19% E -3.94% K -7.59% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -2.24% E -1.28% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -8.19% E -3.94% K -7.59% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:09
Unibet1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -2.24% E -1.28% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -8.19% E -3.94% K -7.59% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:09
TABtouch1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -2.24% E -1.28% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -8.19% E -3.94% K -7.59% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -2.24% E -1.28% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -8.19% E -3.94% K -7.59% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:09
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -2.24% E -1.28% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -8.19% E -3.94% K -7.59% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:05
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -2.24% E -1.28% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -8.19% E -3.94% K -7.59% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:05
betPARX1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -2.24% E -1.28% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -8.19% E -3.94% K -7.59% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:05
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 54.69%EV -2.80% E -1.61% K -3.78% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.31%EV -7.31% E -3.48% K -6.65% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -3.36% E -1.94% K -4.60% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -7.31% E -3.48% K -6.65% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 14:14
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -3.92% E -2.28% K -5.44% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -7.31% E -3.48% K -6.65% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 14:14
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14% NM 54.74%EV -3.92% E -2.28% K -5.44% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.26%EV -8.19% E -3.94% K -7.59% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 11:30
BetAnything1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -4.48% E -2.62% K -6.30% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -7.31% E -3.48% K -6.65% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 23:20
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82% NM 56.63%EV -5.03% E -2.96% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 43.37%EV -2.01% E -0.907% K -1.65% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 07:05
DraftKings1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -5.03% E -2.96% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -2.90% E -1.32% K -2.41% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 07:05
Bet Right1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.03% E -2.96% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.10% E -2.37% K -4.44% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 07:25
NordicBet1.70I 58.82% NM 54.67%EV -5.03% E -2.96% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.33%EV -9.52% E -4.64% K -9.06% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 07:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82% NM 54.67%EV -5.03% E -2.96% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.33%EV -9.52% E -4.64% K -9.06% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 07:10
Bovada1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -5.59% E -3.31% K -8.11% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -0.690% E -0.307% K -0.552% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 23:19
Coolbet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -6.15% E -3.66% K -9.05% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -2.90% E -1.32% K -2.41% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -6.15% E -3.66% K -9.05% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -2.90% E -1.32% K -2.41% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 18:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -6.15% E -3.66% K -9.05% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -5.10% E -2.37% K -4.44% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:14
Caesars1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -6.71% E -4.02% K -10.02% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -0.690% E -0.307% K -0.552% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:21
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -6.71% E -4.02% K -10.02% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -2.90% E -1.32% K -2.41% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -6.71% E -4.02% K -10.02% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -2.90% E -1.32% K -2.41% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:40
SportsBet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.58%EV -7.83% E -4.74% K -12.04% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.42%EV -1.13% E -0.505% K -0.912% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 02:40
FanDuel1.63I 61.35% NM 57.88%EV -8.94% E -5.49% K -14.20% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.12%EV -1.13% E -0.505% K -0.912% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 02:40
TAB1.60I 62.50% NM 58.44%EV -10.62% E -6.64% K -17.70% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.56%EV -0.690% E -0.307% K -0.552% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 08:05
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23% NM 62.81%EV -15.65% E -10.36% K -30.68% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.19%EV +12.55% E +4.92% K +8.10% G +1.02%5.4%2026-06-30 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerRyan Gandra (Local)Zachary Reese (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%2.27I 44.05%1.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%2.24I 44.64%2.1%2026-07-05 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%2.24I 44.64%2.1%2026-07-05 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%2.24I 44.64%2.1%2026-07-05 12:40
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%2.63I 38.02%2.1%2026-06-30 12:50
Novig1.72I 58.14%2.17I 46.08%4.2%2026-07-05 13:55
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%2.16I 46.30%5.8%2026-07-05 06:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet1.63I 61.35%2.22I 45.05%50.00I 2.00%8.4%2026-07-04 12:30